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This presentation is an updated and totally revised and refreshed version of earlier material on this topic. It was presented to the Manningham U3A Stockmarket group on Thursday 10 May 2012. This updated material is quite lengthy (you can tell from the page counts shown at right), and it really needs a session of about 2 hours to present properly, and I tried to squeeze it into only an hour and a quarter (a bit tight). The Handout download and Slides docs are now available at right, and the Speaker Notes will be available soon. See more information on this topic on the web here (currently being updated), and the earlier "Beware the Bears..." presentation material below. The ten key lessons from the GFC are then espoused in some detail. This includes some sample cycles (eg. investment clock, decennial cycle, and property and Presidential cycles). [ref-2012-02]
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Free
Handout file size 3MB 47 pages |
Members
Slides file size 5MB 146 slides on 73 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes (pending) |
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This is an updated and expanded version of the earlier
presentation below. This version includes more detail about the low
market cap companies, and the high risk (high debt) stocks. It also
includes the newer screen shots from the CommSec web site showing how
to search for stocks that meet specific fundamental analysis criteria
(eg. high ROE, low Debt/Equity, and low PEG ratio). [ref-2012-04]
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Free
Handout file size 1.3MB 31 pages |
Members
Slides file size 1.7MB 92 slides on 46 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 2.5MB 93 slides on 93 pages |
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Take an unfair advantage with a check list of 30 ways to increase your success in the markets. Risk and money management is not discussed much, because many people see it as too hard and too complex; but in this session, Robert lists a number of simple ways that you can increase your chances of success, and studies four of these in detail. This includes consideration of two key Fundamental Analysis criteria as well as very useful Technical Analysis considerations. [ref-2012-01]
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Free
Handout Replaced by the updated February version above. |
Members
Slides Replaced by the updated February version above. |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes Replaced by the updated February version above. |
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How to preserve capital and minimise losses (or How to sleep at night - with maximum profits) September 2011 This is a new presentation that covers two key topics:
[ref-2011-09]
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Free
Handout file size 1.5MB 21 pages |
Members
Slides file size 3.5MB 62 slides on 31 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 3MB 64 slides on 64 pages |
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This presentation is now the latest version with updated charts of the first half (ie. Part 1) of the earlier "Anti-decimation..." presentation. The key features in this version are:
See the answers in the slides (with discussion in the Premium Member Speaker Notes). [ref-2011-07a]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB 23 pages |
Members
Slides file size 1MB 68 slides on 34 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 2MB 68 slides on 68 pages |
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This presentation is the latest version with updated charts of the second half (ie. Part 2) of the earlier "Anti-decimation..." presentation. The key features in this version are:
[ref-2011-07b]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB 23 pages |
Members
Slides file size 2½MB 68 slides on 34 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 2½MB 68 slides on 68 pages |
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This presentation to the U3A (Manningham) Sharemarket Group (March 2011) was a recap of three topics, plus an introduction to the new material regarding Contrarian Investing Redefined. A discussion about Candlesticks, Volume and Stop Loss. Also an introduction to: Contrarian Investing Redefined. |
Free
Handout file size 1½ MB 8 pages |
Members
Slides file size 3MB 46 slides on 23 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 2MB 47 slides on 47 pages |
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The handout and slides available at right were delivered to the Melbourne ATAA meeting (April 2011), and again to the Perth ATAA (May 2011). They are an updated version of the set delivered to Manningham U3A Sharemarket Group (March 2011). It can take many years of reading text books and newspapers, attending lectures and seminars, and watching news reports, to hear a number of those very useful “tips” and observations about the share market. We can call them Share Market GEMs, or pearls of wisdom. They might be very useful clichés, adages, proverbs, axioms or infamous Wall Street sayings. BUT, watch out for the furphies! Over many years, Robert has accumulated a long list of more than 90 of these Share Market GEMs, many of which are great snippets of very useful information. But be careful, because some of the touted Wall Street sayings are actually furphies! In this presentation Robert shares many of the more useful, and the more contentious, GEMs. “A rising tide lifts all boats” — or does it? “It's time in the market that is more important, because we can't time the market” — the market professionals who tout this one obviously know nothing about technical analysis. “Sell in May and go away”. Show me a list of Blue chip shares — are they really “blue chip”? Public floats — a great way to make money (not!). In Australia, a correction or bear market happens on average every 2.9 years, and the market takes an average of 3.2 years to recover to new highs. And did you know that the share market is like an elephant? [ref-2011-03/gems]
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Free
Handout file size 1.4MB 28 pages |
Members
Slides file size 3MB 84 slides on 42 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 2MB 85 slides on 85 pages |
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This presentation to the U3A (Manningham) Sharemarket Group (March 2011) was a preview of the GEMs presentation that is being prepared for delivery to the Melbourne ATAA (April 2011), AND a section on "How to Pick Winners in today's market" - using Robert's Weekly Watch List table as a case study example of how to spot the winners. |
Free
Handout file size ¼ MB 6 pages |
Members
Slides file size ½ MB 16 slides on 8 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes file size ½ MB 16 slides on 16 pages |
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Note: This presentation
is now superseded
[posted 16 January 2011 and revised 10 March
2011]by two separate presentations above. This presentation is the absolute latest, updated, and modified version of the earlier "Anti-decimation..." presentations. This slide set supplants the set from both the Melbourne and Canberra ATAA presentations in late 2010. It was presented to the ATAA Sydney Chapter January 2011, and it was used as the basis of an interactive presentation to the Share Market Investment Club (East Doncaster Uniting Church) in March 2011. Also delivered to the Perth ATAA May 2011. It was originally delivered in a slightly different form to the Melbourne PC User Group WASINT in October 2010. [ref-2011-01/fta02]
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Free
Handout file size 2.3MB 41 pages |
Members
Slides file size 4.4MB 120 slides on 60 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 4.5MB 121 slides on 121 pages |
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[posted January 2011] This is the set of slides that was used at the December Melbourne BullCharts User Group meeting to explain the Trading Work Sheet. |
Free
Handout file size <1MB |
Members
Slides file size <1MB 26 slides on 13 pages |
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[posted 15 October 2010] This presentation is yet another updated/modified version of the "Blue Chip Price Charts - Unlocking the Secrets" presentation listed below. It was delivered to Melbourne PC User Group WASINT on Tuesday 12 October 2010. The content will soon be merged into another one of the recent presentations to eliminate the extra numbers of slide sets. [ref-fta03]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB |
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This presentation was delivered Thursday 19 August 2010 to U3A (Manningham) and the ASA (Melbourne). [U3A - University of the Third Age; ASA - Australian Shareholders Association] The session agenda:
[ref-fta01]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB |
Members
Slides file size 4.5MB 87 slides on 43 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 4MB 86 slides on 86 pages |
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A presentation of 40 minutes duration which is a cut-down version of Robert's 4-hour Technical Analysis Introduction seminar (the seminar runs every second month and is now called "Blue Chip Price Chart Secrets"). These slides are a subset of the full collection of slides in the seminar. This presentation was delivered to the October 2009 meeting of the Melbourne ATAA. (This pdf file download is about 3.5MB). The 100+ page handbook from the seminar is also available - in the OnLine Shop, or for Premium Members to download for free (now included with Premium Toolbox membership). [ref-ta01]
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Free
Handout file size 1.5MB |
Members
Slides file size 4MB 92 slides on 46 pages |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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A presentation to the Australian BullCharts User Group (26 May 2010), explaining and demonstrating: Trade Entry, Initial Stop Loss, Risk Amount, Target Price, Risk versus Reward, Reward to Risk Ratio, Trailing Stop. |
Free
Handout file size 0.5MB |
Members
Slides file less than 2MB 30 slides on 15 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  less than 1MB 30 slides on 30 pages |
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A presentation to the Manningham U3A group (17 June 2010), explaining and demonstrating: Funda-Technical Analysis, the use of technical chart indicators as a high-level market filter, as well as for stock selection for entry, and to specify stock exit strategy. The Slides+SpeakerNotes Premium Members' version will be available soon. |
Free
Handout file size 0.5MB |
Members
Slides file size 0.5MB |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  (download available soon) |
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This presentation for the U3A group in Manningham (February 2010) looks at how bad the bear markets can really be, and how to use the Weinstein 30-week SMA, and the Twiggs Money Flow indicator to look out for a bear market. It uses a key part of Robert's weekly market analysis strategy for analysing the market. More information about bear markets is here. |
Free
Handout file size 1MB |
Members
Slides file size 4MB 53 slides on 27 pages |
(coming soon) |
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Aussie Bear
and Bull Markets Analysis
(Revision 9) This presentation (January 2010) initially takes a quick look at the newspaper headlines that often seem to contradict each other "market is up 10%...", when it is actually "down 5%...". And it explains that Weekly charts show us different numbers compared to Daily or Monthly charts. It describes the last 7 bear markets / corrections, and the amount of damage they did - including the amount of time taken to reach new highs. Then it looks at the last 8 bull markets, and the amount of increase. It finishes off by introducing the topic of chart indicators to help identify turning points in the market. This presentation has developed from the Beware the Bears one below. And it was used to start the Weekly Share Market Analysis that Robert now does on a weekly basis as a part of his own trading strategy. He can share his weekly analysis thoughts with you by email - simply register your interest. [ref-bbm02]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB |
Members
Slides file size 4MB 76 slides on 38 pages |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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This presentation was originally entitled "The 10 Key Lessons from the GFC (for Traders and Investors)". It has been renamed and massively updated. It provides some background into the GFC of 2008-9, then reminds us that "trends" are important. The ten key lessons from the GFC are then espoused in some detail. This includes some sample cycles (eg. investment clock, decennial cycle, and property and Presidential cycles). The presentation goes on to provide some technical chart features and indicators that can be used to help identify turning points in the market so that we can be on the lookout for the share market bears. This presentation has been delivered to: the Manningham U3A, the Melb PC User Group WASINT Special Interest Group and the EIS group (of Phil Anderson) in November 2009. For some free information on this topic, see Robert's "The 10 Key Lessons..." web page (the link just above). [ref-bbm03]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB |
Members
Slides file size 4MB 136 slides on 68 pages |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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A presentation to the Australian BullCharts User Group in Melbourne in October 2009. This describes 7 different ways to set a Stop Loss. Of course, the notion of a Stop Loss is to help minimise losses on an investment if the price moves unfavourably. And it is to help protect profits if/as the price action moves favourably. The information in the presentation applies to both the Initial Stop, and to Trailing Stops. This is explained in the first few slides. The presentation goes on to describe a number of different ways to determine a stop loss level. [ref-stops02]
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Free
Handout file size 1MB |
Members
Slides file size 2MB 28 slides on 15 pages |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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A presentation delivered to the Melbourne BullCharts User Group in January 2008. This presentation introduces the concept of Author Strategies in the BullCharts charting software, and in particular Stan Weinstein's concepts as explained in his best selling book "Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets". These concepts include Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis, and using a BullCharts Scan to search for stocks in a specific Market Stage. |
Free
Handout file size 0.2MB |
Members
Slides file size 0.3MB 21 slides on 11 page |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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A presentation delivered to the July 2008 meeting of the Melbourne ATAA. This presentation starts off with some details about Trading Plans, which every trader should have. Then it covers the topics of trade entry, stops, and periodically revising stops. One question for traders is the issue of how to monitor an open trade, and review the progress and raise trailing stops. All these aspects are covered with reference to a realistic Trading Strategy example and uses a Watchlist, a Market Scan, and setting the price target. [ref-strategy01]
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Free
Handout (file size 0.5MB) |
Members
Slides file size 2MB 45 slides on 23 pages |
(coming soon) | ||||||||
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A simple presentation to introduce the MACD technical indicator, and the MACD Histogram, first delivered to the BullCharts User Group in February 2007, and repeated with updates in April 2011. MACD - what is it? and how is it derived? This is covered in the first few slides, including the calculation for the Fast line and the Slow Signal line. It goes on to cover the MACD Histogram, and additional observations. Also see in the eBook Articles (especially TA-4230). |
Free
Handout file size 0.5MB 6 pages |
Members
Slides file size 2MB 18 slides on 9 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  file size 1MB 18 slides on 18 pages |
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A simple presentation to introduce the concept of Stop Loss, and how to implement it, delivered to the BullCharts User Group in March 2007. The presentation also considers some of the possible triggers for people to make share purchases, and some triggers for selling. Knowing this can help us to set a better stop loss position. Three stop loss approaches are covered - the P-SAR (Parabolic SAR) indicator, ATR and the Wilson ATR Trailing Stop, and Daryl Guppy's Count Back Line (CBL). More details on these topics in the eBook Articles. |
Free
Handout (file size 0.2MB) |
Members
Slides file size 0.3MB 23 slides on 12 pages |
Premium
Member Slides + Speaker Notes  less than 1MB 22 slides on 22 pages |
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* Premium handouts are for Toolbox Premium Members. The
information presented herein represents the opinions of the web page
content owner, and Home | DISCLAIMER | Contact us © Copyright
2006-2012, R.B.Brain - Consulting (ABN: 52 791 744
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