** XJO Mth - The price chart
in the Toolbox Home Page header.
(updated: 13 September 2025)
Click here to see the
chart again in a new window.
Note the details of the share price chart in the page header of the Share
Market Toolbox home page - a monthly candlestick chart of the XJO index (S&P/ASX 200). This is a static snapshot
of the index, usually refreshed every couple of months.
(Or see an alternative chart at www.marketindex.com.au/asx200.)
- This monthly candlestick chart starts from the end of the 2003-2007
bull market,
which peaked in October 2007 - before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC).
- The horizontal dashed line indicates the highest intra-day high of
late 2007.
(Each candlestick on a monthly candlestick chart summarises the
price action for a whole calendar month.)
- Remember that every price chart tells a story, noting the height of
the candle body and
the presence or absence of upper/lower candle tails. See more candlestick
details here...
- In February 2020 the index had surpassed
the previous all-time highest close from late 2007,
but then fell significantly in the last week of February (due to
concerns about the COVID-19 coronavirus)
and fell even further in March.
- After crashing in February and March 2020 due to the coronavirus, the
index recovered to new
all-time highs in early 2021, then retraced, then pushed to new highs
through 2023 and 2024..
Individual observations from this chart:
- The vertical value axis on this particular chart has horizontal grid
lines from 3000 to 9000.
- This chart is reminding us that our market peaked in October/November
2007, and
then surpassed that peak in late July 2019. It only took nearly 12
years!
- Each month the chart is compressed a little more so we can still see
the pre-GFC peak.
About the 30-week Simple Moving Average
(SMA) - the blue curve across the chart:
- Observing the 30-week SMA according to Stan Weinstein's
strategies (see an
introduction here)
(on a monthly chart, this SMA is approx a 7.5 month SMA).
- Until mid-January 2010, the index was tracking above the SMA -
suggestive of bullish conditions.
- In early May 2010 the index plunged below the SMA and then jumped
either side of it for a while.
- From July 2012, the SMA basically trended higher (most of the time),
with the index itself sometimes above, and sometimes below, the SMA
curve.
- In August 2015 the SMA turned sharply downwards, then bottomed in
February and rallied into 2016.
- Jump forward to the period 2021-2023. The index hovered around, and
above, the dotted horizontal line.
- From Oct 2023 the index has rallied higher, making new record highs
from time to time.
- The big dip in April 2025 was Pres Trump's Liberation Day (tariff
announcements).
- See more details about the Weinstein strategy for
Toolbox Members here (left hand column - Article ST-6410).
Click here to see the
chart again in a new window.
For more details, also see the Weekly
Share
Market Analysis in the Members'
Area.
Robert Brain
ps: Beware the sharks in the ocean!