** XJO Mth - The price chart
in the Toolbox Home Page header.
(updated: 7 January 2023)
Click here to see the
chart again in a new window.
Note the details of the share price chart in the page header of the Share
Market Toolbox home page - a monthly candlestick chart of the XJO index (S&P/ASX 200). This is a static snapshot
of the index, usually refreshed at the end of each month. You can click here to see the chart again in a new window.
(Or see an alternative chart at www.marketindex.com.au/asx200.)
- This monthly candlestick chart starts from the big bull market peak in
October 2007, before the GFC.
- The horizontal dashed line indicates the highest intra-day high of
late 2007.
- Each candlestick on a monthly candlestick chart summarises the
price action for a whole calendar month.
Remember that every price chart tells a story (noting the height of the
candle body and
the presence or absence of upper/lower tails). See more candlestick
details here...
- The January 2023
monthly candle is only partially complete, and showing the index
in record territory earlier in 2022.
- In February 2020 the index had surpassed
the previous all-time highest close from late 2007, but then fell
significantly in the last week of February (due to concerns about the
COVID-19 coronavirus) and even much further in March.
- After crashing in February and March 2020 due to the coronavirus, the
index recovered to new all-time highs in early 2021.
Individual observations from this chart:
- The vertical value axis on this particular chart has horizontal grid
lines from 3000 to 7000.
- This chart is reminding us that our market peaked in October/November
2007, and surpassed that peak in late July 2019. It only took nearly 12
years!
- Each month the chart is compressed a little more so we can still see
the pre-GFC peak.
About the 30-week Simple Moving Average
(SMA) - the blue curve across the chart:
- Observing the 30-week SMA according to Stan Weinstein's
strategies (see an
introduction here).
(On a monthly chart, this SMA is approx a 7.5 month SMA).
- Until mid-January 2010, the index was tracking above the SMA -
suggestive of bullish conditions.
- In early May 2010 the index plunged below the SMA and then jumped
either side of it for a while.
- From July 2012, the SMA basically trended higher (most of the time),
with the index itself sometimes above, and sometimes below, the SMA
curve.
- In August 2015 the SMA turned sharply downwards, then bottomed in
February and rallied into 2016.
- See more details about this strategy for
Toolbox Members here (left hand column - Article ST-6410).
Click here to see the
chart again in a new window.
For more details, also see the Weekly
Share
Market Analysis in the Members'
Area.
Robert Brain
ps: Beware the sharks in the ocean!